Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.439549 0.482404 0.528314 0.581273 0.640824 0.705880 0.782553
2025-11-09 0.362264 0.420363 0.486984 0.569513 0.669669 0.788127 0.940091
2025-11-16 0.324541 0.390971 0.470747 0.574589 0.707625 0.874317 1.102128
2025-11-23 0.293377 0.363834 0.451554 0.570308 0.729237 0.938024 1.238891
2025-11-30 0.271959 0.345758 0.440536 0.573321 0.758026 1.011217 1.394188
2025-12-07 0.250491 0.325158 0.423595 0.565588 0.769790 1.060296 1.519016
2025-12-14 0.232492 0.307405 0.408492 0.558182 0.780058 1.106665 1.643482
2025-12-21 0.213321 0.286444 0.387068 0.539425 0.771177 1.122550 1.720733
2025-12-28 0.205110 0.280068 0.385439 0.548928 0.804850 1.205907 1.916436
2026-01-04 0.197057 0.273231 0.382437 0.555760 0.834463 1.285103 2.114594
2026-01-11 0.188895 0.265612 0.377592 0.559083 0.858315 1.356614 2.307885
2026-01-18 0.181145 0.258053 0.372213 0.560911 0.879486 1.425141 2.504207
2026-01-25 0.174452 0.251812 0.368615 0.565601 0.906380 1.507392 2.740862
2026-02-01 0.164564 0.240112 0.355787 0.554135 0.904311 1.537253 2.877866
2026-02-08 0.159108 0.234961 0.352936 0.559047 0.931409 1.623643 3.144352
2026-02-15 0.152204 0.227111 0.345203 0.554906 0.941489 1.678255 3.350534
2026-02-22 0.147248 0.222082 0.341726 0.557820 0.964710 1.760833 3.632072
2026-03-01 0.140669 0.214066 0.332802 0.550341 0.967370 1.801864 3.823385
2026-03-08 0.134616 0.206612 0.324397 0.543176 0.969921 1.842732 4.020747
2026-03-15 0.127025 0.196257 0.310515 0.525028 0.949190 1.831831 4.087085
2026-03-22 0.124626 0.194483 0.311303 0.534223 0.984262 1.945930 4.494990
2026-03-29 0.121923 0.192048 0.310776 0.540833 1.014521 2.052737 4.904248
2026-04-05 0.118828 0.188785 0.308588 0.544047 1.037847 2.146272 5.295263